Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 245.040833 276.322423 311.030652 352.568635 401.152785 456.450622 524.537583
2025-03-23 198.569429 239.663932 289.299710 354.355014 438.395573 544.725239 691.746473
2025-03-30 169.698020 213.564947 269.431612 347.051753 454.130044 599.749217 818.326054
2025-04-06 151.143486 196.689230 257.231498 345.492630 474.175291 660.419303 961.111520
2025-04-13 132.338177 176.668995 237.567548 329.745711 470.177516 683.947392 1050.617528
2025-04-20 125.399973 171.886371 237.973908 342.057498 508.291594 775.705034 1266.563398
2025-04-27 120.177515 168.769864 240.076423 356.638969 551.367796 881.876206 1530.896299
2025-05-04 112.381904 160.969939 234.147552 357.522889 571.589881 952.004988 1744.546947
2025-05-11 103.441799 150.572937 223.086725 348.516206 573.177254 988.354961 1898.937672
2025-05-18 96.041787 141.908813 213.895053 341.450231 576.930801 1028.829672 2071.223433
2025-05-25 92.906301 139.677855 214.803959 351.750852 613.826508 1140.182778 2432.121674
2025-06-01 88.197227 134.501710 210.313842 351.815954 630.944715 1213.809362 2724.192095
2025-06-08 82.488863 127.395482 202.180990 344.757625 633.839069 1259.448053 2964.941213
2025-06-15 78.611057 123.082857 198.530977 345.760768 653.517700 1346.848856 3350.114790
2025-06-22 73.881497 116.966896 191.171514 338.759020 655.126168 1392.202854 3630.033599
2025-06-29 70.384787 112.734995 186.839246 337.235679 668.427519 1468.642312 4034.701904
2025-07-06 65.274142 105.349288 176.207257 321.949539 648.705602 1457.787607 4151.200205
2025-07-13 64.214365 105.078014 178.710123 333.902259 693.554196 1625.757479 4957.962165
2025-07-20 63.454921 105.280000 182.093274 348.054834 745.964711 1827.746658 6000.948572
2025-07-27 61.144371 102.481590 179.472611 348.912622 765.667286 1940.633824 6751.094406
2025-08-03 57.916508 97.789031 172.814741 340.171501 759.623737 1974.680602 7179.047090
2025-08-10 55.122310 93.760823 167.214944 333.312781 757.650741 2021.515151 7695.894275
2025-08-17 54.276615 93.376697 168.895348 343.310951 802.447920 2231.570223 9156.279509